Information taking a look at the upcoming September intake revealed a drop in both CAS issuances and approvals across several crucial sending out markets, including Pakistan and India. Other major sending nations such as Nigeria and China present more of a blended picture, with greater acceptances when compared to the exact same point last year but fewer CAS provided.
The information was exposed in an Enroly webinar previously this month, showing that in the year to July 2026, total CAS issuance is down simply under 13% year on year (most likely to move to 28% down by the end of September’s recruitment cycle), and approvals down 30% year on year.
Nevertheless, Enroly’s director of growth and partnerships Katie Layt pointed out that the true photo may alter considerably by the end of the recruitment cycle.
And she also exposed that the “swing is big organization to institution”, with around 30% of Enroly’s dataset actually tracking year-on-year boosts– if simply this associate was measured, she said, the annual metrics would be up 50%
“The picture modifications by objective group, kind of university, geopgraphic area– there are huge swings all over the place,” she said.
Pakistan is the “most significant decrease we see for any market year on year”, down 55% on acceptances and 67% down on CAS issuance. Another major South Asian market, India, is aslo in decline, with acceptances down nearly 27% and CAS issiance down 40%.
The picture changes by mission group, type of university, geopgraphic location– there are huge swings all over the location
Katie Layt, Enroly
It follows a tricky time for the Pakistani market as numerous institutions pulled out of the nation completely, citing visa rejection concerns.
China, East Asia’s biggest sending market, is tracking up (12%) in terms of approvals however CAS issuance is down 15%
Nigeria is registering as the most significant volume market on the Enroly platform, Layt exposed. While approvals in Nigeria are up 26%, CAS issuance is down 13% “so a conversion difficulty in between those two is emerging”
Significant year-on-year boosts in terms of approvals could be seen in the United States market (up 6%), France (up 58%), Spain (up 19%), Kuwait (up 168%) and Iraq (up 71%).
< img width="1024 "height ="578"src ="// www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%201024%20578'%3E%3C/svg%3E "alt =""/ > Source: Enroly On the other hand,16 markets across West and East Africa are revealing growth. Ghana as the 2nd biggest African sending out country is tracking 28 %up year on year although Layt observed that growth has slowed as it was up 50% earlier in the recruitment cycle. She recommended this could reflect visa refusal pressures and run the risk of mitigation as institutions face more stringent compliance requirements.
Kenya is up 17%, with Zimbabwe also revealing growth, up 47%. In the MENA region, Egypt is up 28%, while nations based on a research study visa break over asylum issues are on the decline– Cameroon is down 88%, and Myanmar is down 86%.
In spite of visa refusal concerns as tigher BCA requirements bite, Enroly data suggests that visa rejections are actually tracking down year on year.
“At this early stage we’re sitting at a low number,” said Layt, with visa rejections to July 3 2026 almost 58% lower than they were at the exact same point last year.
She kept in mind that this compared to a “really high” refusal rate in January, but warned that it is “early days in the cycle, so these figures will move”.
Source: Enroly More data exposed more about how trainees are discovering their organizations of option; straight or through a representative. According to Enroly information, almost 6 in 10 trainees go through an agent, with the rest finding a university direct.
And the data showed that the sector is still dominated by a few big representatives, with the top 10 representatives jointly managing about 25% of trainee acceptances.
Source: Enroly < img src ="// www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%200%200'%3E%3C/svg%3E"/ > < img src="https://thepienews.b-cdn.net/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/SRT-Fairs-_-Ad-600-x-500px-V2.jpg"/ >